Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000157 0.000173 0.000191 0.000212 0.000235 0.000260 0.000289
2025-09-07 0.000126 0.000150 0.000178 0.000213 0.000255 0.000306 0.000371
2025-09-14 0.000109 0.000137 0.000171 0.000217 0.000277 0.000353 0.000458
2025-09-21 0.000094 0.000123 0.000161 0.000213 0.000285 0.000382 0.000524
2025-09-28 0.000081 0.000110 0.000149 0.000205 0.000286 0.000400 0.000575
2025-10-05 0.000074 0.000104 0.000145 0.000208 0.000301 0.000438 0.000659
2025-10-12 0.000070 0.000100 0.000144 0.000213 0.000320 0.000483 0.000759
2025-10-19 0.000063 0.000093 0.000138 0.000210 0.000325 0.000508 0.000828
2025-10-26 0.000059 0.000090 0.000136 0.000212 0.000339 0.000548 0.000928
2025-11-02 0.000055 0.000085 0.000131 0.000210 0.000345 0.000574 0.001007
2025-11-09 0.000051 0.000081 0.000128 0.000210 0.000354 0.000606 0.001101
2025-11-16 0.000048 0.000077 0.000123 0.000207 0.000359 0.000631 0.001184
2025-11-23 0.000043 0.000071 0.000117 0.000200 0.000355 0.000642 0.001244
2025-11-30 0.000041 0.000068 0.000114 0.000201 0.000366 0.000681 0.001367
2025-12-07 0.000039 0.000066 0.000114 0.000205 0.000383 0.000736 0.001531
2025-12-14 0.000036 0.000063 0.000109 0.000201 0.000385 0.000759 0.001632
2025-12-21 0.000033 0.000058 0.000103 0.000193 0.000379 0.000764 0.001690
2025-12-28 0.000032 0.000057 0.000102 0.000196 0.000393 0.000815 0.001866
2026-01-04 0.000031 0.000056 0.000103 0.000201 0.000413 0.000881 0.002085
2026-01-11 0.000029 0.000053 0.000099 0.000198 0.000415 0.000907 0.002212
2026-01-18 0.000028 0.000052 0.000099 0.000200 0.000430 0.000964 0.002428
2026-01-25 0.000026 0.000050 0.000096 0.000198 0.000434 0.000995 0.002580
2026-02-01 0.000025 0.000048 0.000094 0.000198 0.000442 0.001039 0.002777